Pancreatic cancer is a deadly disease, often diagnosed too late for effective treatment.
However, new research from the Mayo Clinic shows promise in identifying biological signals, or biomarkers, that may help in early detection.
Researchers are tracking changes in body composition and metabolism to identify high-risk patients who could benefit from selective screening for pancreatic cancer, which kills more than 50,000 Americans each year.
“When most patients come to us with pancreatic cancer, their cancer has already spread, and their five-year survival rate is only three percent.
But if we catch them early, at stage 1A, their five-year survival rate can be as high as 80%,” says Dr. Yan Bi, a gastroenterologist at Mayo Clinic in Florida. “Detecting the cancer earlier is the best way to improve survival.”
Early detection is challenging because the initial symptoms of pancreatic cancer—digestive issues, belly pain, and weight loss—are not specific.
“Weight loss occurs even before the diagnosis,” says Dr. Bi. “A majority of pancreatic cancer patients will lose weight before they discover they have cancer.”
As the disease progresses, cancer cells cause various metabolic and physiological changes. Dr. Bi and her colleagues wondered if these changes could serve as biomarkers to detect pancreatic cancer earlier than ever before.
Dr. Bi teamed up with Dr. Derk Klatte and Dr. Michael Wallace to examine medical records of patients diagnosed with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) at the Mayo Clinic between 2002 and 2021.
They analyzed abdominal CT scans and blood tests taken up to three years before the patients were diagnosed. Using advanced algorithms developed by data scientist Dr. Alex Weston, the researchers measured changes in body fat, muscle, and bone, as well as shifts in blood-based biomarkers like cholesterol and glucose levels.
Their findings, published in the journal Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, revealed significant changes in various physiological and metabolic measurements.
The researchers observed reductions in both visceral fat (fat surrounding the organs) and subcutaneous fat (fat under the skin) as patients approached their diagnosis date.
They also noted a notable drop in serum lipids—fats found in the blood—such as low-density lipoprotein (LDL), total cholesterol, and triglycerides.
Conversely, the study found that blood glucose levels increased up to three years before patients were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer, confirming a link previously described by Mayo Clinic gastroenterologist Dr. Suresh Chari.
Additional findings revealed that patients experienced a loss of muscle mass and bone volume, which became more pronounced in the last six months before their cancer was detected.
“It is a bizarre condition,” says Dr. Bi. “Patients’ bodies are changing—they are losing weight and their total cholesterol levels are going down…many things you think would be healthy, but in this case, they’re not. Nobody knows exactly what is going on, but we aim to find out.”
Dr. Bi recently received two grants, one from the National Institutes of Health and another from the Department of Defense, to investigate how the growth of pancreatic tumors could drive such widespread metabolic changes.
She is also expanding her work on pancreatic cancer biomarkers, searching for the best combination of factors for early diagnosis. “We are using many different layers of information—medical records, labs, and data gathered from wearable devices,” she says.
Dr. Bi is part of the Kern Health Care Delivery Scholars Program at the Mayo Clinic Robert D. and Patricia E. Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery.
The program supports the next generation of clinically trained, doctoral-level fellows and junior faculty in health services research.
As a Kern Health Care Delivery Scholar, Dr. Bi has been working on a project that uses wearables like Apple Watches or Fitbits to track changes in body composition, combined with the power of artificial intelligence (AI).
“My goal is to combine that information with all the other data we have on a patient and use AI to calculate their risk of developing pancreatic cancer in three years,” she says. “If they are at increased risk, we could start doing surveillance with abdominal imaging.”
The team’s early findings suggest that capturing the subtle yet significant body changes that occur as pancreatic cancer develops could be a key strategy in the fight against the disease. Recognizing these changes early could lead to timely diagnosis and treatment, potentially saving lives.
Dr. Bi and her colleagues at the Mayo Clinic are active in the Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection (PRECEDE) consortium, a global effort to improve early detection and prevention of pancreatic cancer. The consortium’s goal is to increase the five-year survival rate to 50% after 10 years.
“It is very ambitious,” she says, “but I hope we can reach that goal by pushing for early detection.”
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The research findings can be found in Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
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