In a new study, researchers found that the number of children infected with the coronavirus may be far more extensive than what is currently reported.
This is a hidden detail that could vastly underestimate the demand for health care systems and pediatric intensive care units (PICUs).
The research was conducted by a team at the University of South Florida (USF) and the Women’s Institute for Independent Social Enquiry (WiiSE).
The team estimated that for each child who requires intensive care for COVID-19, there are 2,381 children infected with the virus.
This calculation follows a report from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention regarding its clinical study of over 2,100 children in China with COVID-19.
According to the North American registry, Virtual PICU Systems, 74 children in the U.S. were admitted to PICUs between March 18 and April 6, signaling an additional 176,190 children were likely infected during this timeframe.
Children younger than 2 accounted for 30 percent of the cases, 24%were ages 2 to 11 and 46% of the PICU cases were children between ages 12 and 17.
Researchers say that if as many as 25% of the U.S. population becomes infected with the coronavirus before the end of 2020, 50,000 children with severe illness will need to be hospitalized, with 5,400 of them critically ill and requiring mechanical ventilation.
Clinical reports indicate the average length of stay for pediatric COVID-19 is 14 days.
According to a national survey aimed to evaluate the U.S. pediatric critical care capacity and published in Critical Care Medicine, there are approximately 5,100 PICU beds in the U.S.
The team says although the risk of severe illness from COVID-19 is lower in pediatric cases than adults, hospitals should be prepared and have the proper equipment and staffing levels to deal with a potential influx of younger patients.
They also point out the infection rate will be much higher for children in low-income families with parents in blue-collar and service jobs, which preclude the option of working from home.
There’s also an increased risk to children who live in urban public housing projects due to the close proximity of housing units and small communal recreation and commons areas.
The study’s authors recommend all state health departments and the CDC begin reporting confirmed COVID-19 cases in age-specific tables, using the standard 5-year age groups for health surveillance and make the data publicly available.
One author of the study is Jason Salemi, an associate professor of epidemiology in the USF College of Public Health.
The study is published in the Journal of Public Health Management and Practice.
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